Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Ardens Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003011204 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,391 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
10003011204 is a census tract in the Ardens Historic District area of Ardentown, DE. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,391. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,403
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$104,138
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arden and the region
Centroid at 39.8176, -75.4863 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ardens Historic District scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arden
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,139 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arden
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arden
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arden
6.5
How Ardens Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 430Total filings over 9 yrs
- 25.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.4%Peak (2011)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 252Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ardens Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ardens Historic District
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,139, 20% below the Ardentown average.
Cost burden runs 50% here against 44.1% across New Castle County. Food insecurity runs 8.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 430 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 37.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 25.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003011204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003011204?
Census tract 10003011204 in the Ardens Historic District neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003011204?
Median gross rent is $1,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003011204?
5.5% of residents in tract 10003011204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,391.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003011204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 62th, minority 39th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 10003011204 considered part of Ardens Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003011204 fall within Ardens Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003011204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 430 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003011204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.88% of renter households, peaking at 37.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003011204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003011204 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003011204 compare to Arden overall?
Tract 10003011204 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arden at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arden eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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