Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Ardens Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003011204 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,391 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 10003011204 runs through the Ardens Historic District area of Arden. With 3,391 residents, it scores 6.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,139 a month while the average household earns $104,138 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,403
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$104,138
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arden and the region
Centroid at 39.8176, -75.4863 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ardens Historic District scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arden
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,139 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arden
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arden
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arden
6.5
How Ardens Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 430Total filings over 9 yrs
- 25.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.4%Peak (2011)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 252Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ardens Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ardens Historic District
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arden eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 430 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 25.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.4% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003011204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003011204?
Census tract 10003011204 in the Ardens Historic District neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003011204?
Median gross rent is $1,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003011204?
5.5% of residents in tract 10003011204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,391.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003011204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 62th, minority 39th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 10003011204 considered part of Ardens Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003011204 fall within Ardens Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003011204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 430 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003011204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.88% of renter households, peaking at 37.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003011204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003011204 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003011204 compare to Arden overall?
Tract 10003011204 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Arden at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arden eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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