Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Pike Creek Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003013604 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,135 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Pike Creek Valley
For landlords sizing up Pike Creek Valley, census tract 10003013604 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 76% of US census tracts.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,249 monthly, set against $124,583 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,662
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$124,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pike Creek Valley and the region
Centroid at 39.7235, -75.6816 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pike Creek Valley scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,249 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
4.3
How Pike Creek Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 549Total filings over 9 yrs
- 30.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 64.6%Peak (2011)
- 33Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 91Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.25×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pike Creek Valley
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pike Creek Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.25x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003013604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003013604?
Census tract 10003013604 in Pike Creek Valley scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003013604?
Median gross rent is $1,249/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003013604?
2.6% of residents in tract 10003013604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,135.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003013604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 62th, minority 38th, housing 41th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003013604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 549 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003013604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.95% of renter households, peaking at 64.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003013604 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003013604 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003013604 compare to Pike Creek Valley overall?
Tract 10003013604 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Pike Creek Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pike Creek Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pike Creek Valley
Top eight tracts in Pike Creek Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 10003013604
Parent city ↑
Pike Creek Valley
4.3 / 10
Parent county ↑
New Castle County
Parent state ↑
Delaware
Sibling tract →
Tract 10003013507
1.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 10003016613
1.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 10003011800
1.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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