Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Pike Creek Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003013611 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,979 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Pike Creek Valley
Tract 10003013611 sits in Pike Creek Valley eviction risk, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 5,979 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,547
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$101,380
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pike Creek Valley and the region
Centroid at 39.7266, -75.7090 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pike Creek Valley scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,642 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pike Creek Valley
4.3
How Pike Creek Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 912Total filings over 9 yrs
- 9.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2012)
- 59Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 358Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pike Creek Valley
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 912 evictions over 9 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the New Castle County average of 4.2. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 13.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003013611
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003013611?
Census tract 10003013611 in Pike Creek Valley scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003013611?
Median gross rent is $1,642/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003013611?
4.4% of residents in tract 10003013611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,979.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003013611?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 16th, minority 53th, housing 34th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003013611?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 912 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003013611 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.56% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003013611 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003013611 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003013611 compare to Pike Creek Valley overall?
Tract 10003013611 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Pike Creek Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pike Creek Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pike Creek Valley
Top eight tracts in Pike Creek Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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