Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Timber Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10003014908 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,637 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Eviction risk in the Timber Ridge neighborhood of New Castle centers on tract 10003014908, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,637 residents. That is riskier than about 76% of US census tracts.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,107 monthly, set against $36,919 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share77.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$36,919
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle County and the region
Centroid at 39.6528, -75.6287 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timber Ridge scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Timber Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 717Total filings over 9 yrs
- 12.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2010)
- 78Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 355Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.1%Food insecurity
- 25.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timber Ridge
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Delaware eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014908
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014908?
Census tract 10003014908 in the Timber Ridge neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014908?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014908?
18.3% of residents in tract 10003014908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014908?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 97th, minority 85th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014908 considered part of Timber Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014908 fall within Timber Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014908?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 717 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014908 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.80% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014908 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014908 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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