Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Timber Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10003014908 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,637 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 10003014908 sits in the Timber Ridge area of New Castle County, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share77.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$36,919
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle County and the region
Centroid at 39.6528, -75.6287 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timber Ridge scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Timber Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 717Total filings over 9 yrs
- 12.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2010)
- 78Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 355Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.1%Food insecurity
- 25.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timber Ridge
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $36,919 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.1 points above the New Castle County average of 4.2.
SNAP participation runs 25.1% against 15.2% nationally. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the New Castle County average of 44.1%. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 717 evictions over 9 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 21.3% against 14.2% nationally.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 6.9/10. The worst year on record was 2010, when 15.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014908
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014908?
Census tract 10003014908 in the Timber Ridge neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014908?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014908?
18.3% of residents in tract 10003014908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014908?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 97th, minority 85th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014908 considered part of Timber Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014908 fall within Timber Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014908?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 717 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014908 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.80% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014908 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014908 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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