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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Duross Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , New Castle

Tract 10003015000 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,628 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 10003015000 runs through the Duross Heights area of New Castle. With 5,628 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,198 a month while the average household earns $89,743 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 21% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,914
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$89,743

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Duross Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In New Castle
High
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#82 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#148 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Castle and the region

Centroid at 39.6782, -75.6063 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duross Heights scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,198 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
2.6

How Duross Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duross Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 015000New Castle: 3.93.9New Castleparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,159Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 18.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.3%Peak (2018)
  • 190Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030150002010: 111 filings (15.44/100 renter HHs)2011: 134 filings (16.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 118 filings (14.50/100 renter HHs)2013: 111 filings (13.64/100 renter HHs)2014: 100 filings (12.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 120 filings (14.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 98 filings (16.67/100 renter HHs)2017: 177 filings (30.10/100 renter HHs)2018: 190 filings (32.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 813Total filings 2020-21
  • 10.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (0.48× baseline)2020-02-01: 25 filings (3.13× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2020-07-01: 10 filings (0.82× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-09-01: 15 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-11-01: 22 filings (2.51× baseline)2020-12-01: 19 filings (2.38× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2021-02-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2021-03-01: 8 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-05-01: 9 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 8 filings (0.58× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (0.41× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-12-01: 14 filings (1.75× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-02-01: 11 filings (1.38× baseline)2022-03-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2022-04-01: 15 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-05-01: 7 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-06-01: 9 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-07-01: 11 filings (0.90× baseline)2022-08-01: 12 filings (0.87× baseline)2022-09-01: 15 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-11-01: 11 filings (1.26× baseline)2022-12-01: 11 filings (1.38× baseline)2023-01-01: 17 filings (1.03× baseline)2023-02-01: 14 filings (1.75× baseline)2023-03-01: 8 filings (0.94× baseline)2023-04-01: 14 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (0.82× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (0.51× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2023-10-01: 15 filings (1.02× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (1.26× baseline)2023-12-01: 16 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-02-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 41 filings (4.82× baseline)2024-04-01: 14 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.28× baseline)2024-06-01: 26 filings (2.12× baseline)2024-07-01: 25 filings (2.04× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-09-01: 25 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 59 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-12-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2025-02-01: 23 filings (2.88× baseline)2025-03-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 11 filings (0.76× baseline)2025-06-01: 15 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (0.49× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-09-01: 9 filings (0.72× baseline)2025-10-01: 9 filings (0.61× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2026-01-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duross Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,159 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 18.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.3% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003015000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003015000?

Census tract 10003015000 in the Duross Heights neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003015000?

Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003015000?

14.8% of residents in tract 10003015000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,628.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003015000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 46th, minority 62th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 10003015000 considered part of Duross Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003015000 fall within Duross Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003015000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,159 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003015000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.46% of renter households, peaking at 32.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003015000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003015000 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003015000 compare to New Castle overall?

Tract 10003015000 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of New Castle at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Castle

Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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