Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Duross Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 10003015000 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,628 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 10003015000 in the Duross Heights area of New Castle, DE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,628. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,914
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$89,743
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 39.6782, -75.6063 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duross Heights scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,198 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
2.6
How Duross Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,159Total filings over 9 yrs
- 18.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.3%Peak (2018)
- 190Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 813Total filings 2020-21
- 10.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.5%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.0%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duross Heights
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. At $1,198 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of New Castle commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,159 evictions over 9 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2018, when 32.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 18.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $89,743, annual rent is just 16%. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.
It tracks the New Castle County average of 4.2 closely. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003015000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003015000?
Census tract 10003015000 in the Duross Heights neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003015000?
Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003015000?
14.8% of residents in tract 10003015000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,628.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003015000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 46th, minority 62th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 10003015000 considered part of Duross Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003015000 fall within Duross Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003015000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,159 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003015000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.46% of renter households, peaking at 32.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003015000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003015000 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003015000 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 10003015000 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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