Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Riveredge Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 10003015502 ·
New Castle County, DE · pop 2,449 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 10003015502 sits in the Riveredge Park area of New Castle County, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 8%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units924
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$59,479
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Riveredge Park
Very High
Within county
69th percentile
#46 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Elevated
Within state
74th percentile
#69 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Elevated
National
59th percentile
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 39.7016, -75.5381 · click any tract to drill in
Why Riveredge Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Castle
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
5.0
How Riveredge Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
93%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
594Total filings over 9 yrs
18.44%Avg annual filing rate
20.1%Peak (2017)
68Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2010 to 2018
Filings climbed 26% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
269Total filings 2020-21
3.5Avg monthly (observed)
5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.62×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Riveredge Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
22.6%Housing insecurity
15.4%Utility-shutoff threat
28.4%Food insecurity
26.8%SNAP enrollment
14.6%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
18.7%Frequent mental distress
37.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Riveredge Park
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the New Castle County average of 44.1%.
Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
Court records carry 594 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.9/10. It sits 0.7 points above the New Castle County average of 4.2.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2017, when 20.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 18.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003015502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003015502?
Census tract 10003015502 in the Riveredge Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003015502?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003015502?
11.7% of residents in tract 10003015502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,449.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003015502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 85th, minority 82th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 10003015502 considered part of Riveredge Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003015502 fall within Riveredge Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003015502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 594 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003015502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.44% of renter households, peaking at 20.1% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003015502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003015502 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003015502 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 10003015502 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.