Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Rogers Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , New Castle
Tract 10003016100 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,105 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 10003016100 belongs to Rogers Manor in New Castle, Delaware. It is home to 2,105 residents and scores 5.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,250 a month while the average household earns $73,716 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$73,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 39.6686, -75.5608 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rogers Manor scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
2.6
How Rogers Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 144Total filings over 9 yrs
- 9.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.2%Peak (2013)
- 17Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 113% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 46Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rogers Manor
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.54x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016100?
Census tract 10003016100 in the Rogers Manor neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016100?
Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016100?
2.5% of residents in tract 10003016100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,105.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 42th, minority 47th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 10003016100 considered part of Rogers Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003016100 fall within Rogers Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 144 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003016100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.21% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003016100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003016100 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 10003016100 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of New Castle at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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