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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

New Castle Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 10003016200 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,664 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 10003016200 covers part of the New Castle Historic District area of New Castle, DE, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the New Castle County average of 44.1%.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 41% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,413
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$100,922

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In New Castle Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In New Castle
Very Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#99 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Castle and the region

Centroid at 39.6568, -75.5860 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Castle Historic District scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,754 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
2.6

How New Castle Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Castle Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0162004.0New Castleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 392Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 8.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2015)
  • 46Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 10003016200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 221Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Castle Historic District

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 392 filings here across 9 tracked years.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 11.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $1,754, close to the New Castle average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003016200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016200?

Census tract 10003016200 in the New Castle Historic District neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003016200?

Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016200?

4.9% of residents in tract 10003016200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 31th, minority 49th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 10003016200 considered part of New Castle Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003016200 fall within New Castle Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 392 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003016200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.02% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003016200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003016200 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003016200 compare to New Castle overall?

Tract 10003016200 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of New Castle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Castle

Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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