Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
New Castle Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016200 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,664 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 10003016200 runs through New Castle Historic District in New Castle. With 2,664 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #50,672 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 17% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,754 a month while the average household earns $100,922 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,413
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$100,922
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 39.6568, -75.5860 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Castle Historic District scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,754 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
2.6
How New Castle Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 392Total filings over 9 yrs
- 8.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2015)
- 46Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 221Total filings 2020-21
- 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Castle Historic District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.78x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016200?
Census tract 10003016200 in the New Castle Historic District neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016200?
Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016200?
4.9% of residents in tract 10003016200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,664.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 31th, minority 49th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 10003016200 considered part of New Castle Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003016200 fall within New Castle Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 392 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003016200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.02% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003016200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003016200 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 10003016200 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of New Castle at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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