Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Townsend Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016806 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,508 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Townsend
Census tract 10003016806 covers Townsend in New Castle County, home to 5,508 residents. For landlords it grades 4.1/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 14th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 5% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,336 monthly, set against $137,273 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share6.0%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$137,273
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
National
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Townsend and the region
Centroid at 39.4044, -75.7215 · click any tract to drill in
Why Townsend scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Townsend
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,336 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Townsend
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Townsend
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Townsend
1.8
How Townsend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 28Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Townsend
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Townsend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.75x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016806?
Census tract 10003016806 in Townsend scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016806?
Median gross rent is $1,336/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016806?
5.1% of residents in tract 10003016806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,508.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 47th, minority 71th, housing 23th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016806 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 10003016806 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 10003016806 compare to Townsend overall?
Tract 10003016806 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Townsend at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Townsend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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