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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

North Capitol Street Eviction Risk: High , Washington

Tract 11001004703 · District of Columbia, DC · pop 3,069 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 11001004703 covers part of the North Capitol Street area of Washington, DC, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is state political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 48% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,916
Renter share80.0%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$81,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In North Capitol Street
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 206 tracts In Washington
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 206 tracts In District of Columbia
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 206 tracts In District of Columbia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Washington and the region

Centroid at 38.9035, -77.0171 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Capitol Street scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Washington
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.3
State political climate
District of Columbia legislature & governorship
9.5
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,804 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Washington
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Washington
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Washington
9.5

How North Capitol Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Capitol Street risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0047039.1Washingtonparent city8.7Countyavg tract in county8.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Capitol Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Capitol Street

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.5/10.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the District of Columbia average of 8.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the DC average is 8.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,804, close to the Washington average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $81,458.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 11001004703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 11001004703?

Census tract 11001004703 in the North Capitol Street neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 11001004703?

Median gross rent is $1,804/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 11001004703?

28.4% of residents in tract 11001004703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,069.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 11001004703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 3th, minority 71th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 11001004703 considered part of North Capitol Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 11001004703 fall within North Capitol Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 11001004703 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 11001004703 compare to Washington overall?

Tract 11001004703 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Washington at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Washington eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Washington

Top eight tracts in Washington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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