Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfair Eviction Risk: High , Washington
Tract 11001009602 · District of Columbia, DC · pop 5,144 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
11001009602 is a census tract in the Mayfair area of Washington, DC. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,144 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,233
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$34,476
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Washington and the region
Centroid at 38.9036, -76.9524 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Washington
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.3
State political climate
District of Columbia legislature & governorship
9.5
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Washington
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Washington
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Washington
9.5
How Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5,429Total filings over 7 yrs
- 60.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 105.1%Peak (2008)
- 659Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.8%Housing insecurity
- 31.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 52.3%Food insecurity
- 61.8%SNAP enrollment
- 27.6%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 41.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
Cost burden runs 68% here against 43.0% across District of Columbia. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 52.3% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 61.8% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $34,476, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 9.5/10.
The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10.
This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,325, 32% below the Washington average. It sits 1.2 points above the District of Columbia average of 8.7.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 11001009602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 11001009602?
Census tract 11001009602 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 11001009602?
Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 11001009602?
40.2% of residents in tract 11001009602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,144.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 11001009602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 70th, minority 98th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 11001009602 considered part of Mayfair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 11001009602 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 11001009602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,429 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 11001009602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 60.53% of renter households, peaking at 105.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 11001009602 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 11001009602 compare to Washington overall?
Tract 11001009602 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Washington at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Washington eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Washington
Top eight tracts in Washington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DC
Ivy City
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Shipley Terrace
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Grant Park
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Captains Row
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Carver
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Hill East
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Pleasant Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · DC
Buena Vista
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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