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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12005000201 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12005000201 · Bay, FL · pop 5,440

With a score of $1/10, tract 12005000201 in Bay in Bay County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,440 residents. On the national scale it ranks #50,680 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 75% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $970 a month against an average household income of $60,417 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 2% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,919
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$60,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 49 tracts In Bay
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,422 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay and the region

Centroid at 30.3713, -85.7698 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12005000201 scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$970 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12005000201 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12005000201 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 000201County: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 81Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 2.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2018)
  • 15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120050002012008: 9 filings (2.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2017: 5 filings (1.49/100 renter HHs)2018: 15 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12005000201

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bay County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 81 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.5% of renter households in 2018.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12005000201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005000201?

Census tract 12005000201 in Bay scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12005000201?

Median gross rent is $970/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12005000201?

21.6% of residents in tract 12005000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12005000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 92th, minority 24th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005000201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.70% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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