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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Pelican Marsh Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12021010205 · Collier, FL · pop 2,569 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

In the Pelican Marsh neighborhood of Pelican Marsh, census tract 12021010205 scores 3.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 8th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,833 a month while the average household earns $128,870 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 2% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,274
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$128,870

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Pelican Marsh
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pelican Marsh
Moderate
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 108 tracts In Collier
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#4,735 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pelican Marsh and the region

Centroid at 26.2434, -81.7943 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pelican Marsh scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,833 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
1.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
1.8

How Pelican Marsh compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pelican Marsh risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 010205Pelican Marsh: 2.12.1Pelican Marshparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pelican Marsh. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pelican Marsh

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pelican Marsh, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Collier County average of 4.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010205?

Census tract 12021010205 in the Pelican Marsh neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010205?

Median gross rent is $2,833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010205?

4.0% of residents in tract 12021010205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,569.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 8th, minority 12th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 12021010205 considered part of Pelican Marsh?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12021010205 fall within Pelican Marsh (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12021010205 compare to Pelican Marsh overall?

Tract 12021010205 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Pelican Marsh at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pelican Marsh; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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