Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Pelican Marsh Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12021010437 ·
Collier, FL · pop 2,586 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Pelican Marsh neighborhood of Pelican Marsh, census tract 12021010437 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 13% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,827 a month against an average household income of $143,771 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 3%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units996
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$143,771
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In Pelican Marsh
Moderate
Within county
23th percentile
#83 of 108 tracts In Collier
Low
Within state
12th percentile
#4,494 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
12th percentile
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pelican Marsh and the region
Centroid at 26.2561, -81.7599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pelican Marsh scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,827 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pelican Marsh
5.0
How Pelican Marsh compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pelican Marsh. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pelican Marsh, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Collier County average of 4.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12021010437
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010437?
Census tract 12021010437 in the Pelican Marsh neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12021010437?
Median gross rent is $1,827/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010437?
11.1% of residents in tract 12021010437 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010437?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 93th, minority 41th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 12021010437 considered part of Pelican Marsh?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12021010437 fall within Pelican Marsh (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12021010437 compare to Pelican Marsh overall?
Tract 12021010437 scores 2/10, right in line with the parent city of Pelican Marsh at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pelican Marsh; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.