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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12021010434 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12021010434 · Collier, FL · pop 5,510

12021010434 is a census tract in Collier County, FL. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,510 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 19% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units3,080
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$74,878

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 108 tracts In Collier
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,051 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Collier and the region

Centroid at 26.2583, -81.7456 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12021010434 scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,836 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12021010434 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12021010434 risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0104343.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12021010434

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Collier County average of 52.8%. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Collier County average of 3.7.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent runs $1,836 a month. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $74,878.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010434

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010434?

Census tract 12021010434 in Collier scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010434?

Median gross rent is $1,836/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010434?

21.2% of residents in tract 12021010434 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,510.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010434?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 95th, minority 48th, housing 47th.
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