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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Lely Country Club Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12021010801 · Collier, FL · pop 3,548 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 12021010801 in the Lely Country Club area of Lely, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,548 residents. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,800
Renter share18.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$65,349

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lely Country Club
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lely
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 108 tracts In Collier
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lely and the region

Centroid at 26.1055, -81.7278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lely Country Club scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lely
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,826 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lely
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lely
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lely
7.1

How Lely Country Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lely Country Club risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0108013.8Lelyparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lely Country Club

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Collier County average of 52.8%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $65,349, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,826 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Lely commands. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

It tracks the Collier County average of 3.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010801?

Census tract 12021010801 in the Lely Country Club neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010801?

Median gross rent is $1,826/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010801?

8.7% of residents in tract 12021010801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,548.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 60th, minority 30th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 12021010801 considered part of Lely Country Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12021010801 fall within Lely Country Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12021010801 compare to Lely overall?

Tract 12021010801 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lely at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lely; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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