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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Riverbend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057001400 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,542 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12057001400 (the Riverbend area of Tampa, Florida) comes in at 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,098 a month against an average household income of $57,243 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 13% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,843
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$57,243

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Riverbend
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#104 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0038, -82.4772 · click any tract to drill in

Why Riverbend scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,098 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Riverbend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Riverbend risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 001400Tampa: 2.72.7Tampaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 455Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2009)
  • 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570014002000: 59 filings (11.28/100 renter HHs)2001: 48 filings (9.18/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (4.21/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2005: 46 filings (7.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 60 filings (9.39/100 renter HHs)2010: 60 filings (10.24/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)2015: 41 filings (7.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 40 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 184Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-04-01: 10 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-11-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Riverbend

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057001400?

Census tract 12057001400 in the Riverbend neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057001400?

Median gross rent is $1,098/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057001400?

13.5% of residents in tract 12057001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,542.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 93th, minority 83th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 12057001400 considered part of Riverbend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057001400 fall within Riverbend (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 455 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.31% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057001400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057001400 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057001400 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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