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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Edwards Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057001600 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,235 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 12057001600 covers part of the Edwards area of Tampa, FL, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 14% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share18.3%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$84,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Edwards
Moderate
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#154 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,882 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0034, -82.4554 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edwards scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,213 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Edwards compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Edwards risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0016004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 134Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2010)
  • 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057001600
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 39Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edwards

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,213, 29% below the Tampa average.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 134 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $84,391, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057001600?

Census tract 12057001600 in the Edwards neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057001600?

Median gross rent is $1,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057001600?

16.6% of residents in tract 12057001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,235.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 3th, minority 56th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 12057001600 considered part of Edwards?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057001600 fall within Edwards (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057001600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.02% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057001600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057001600 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057001600 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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