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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Alta Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057001700 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,061 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12057001700 in the Alta Vista area of Tampa, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,061. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 81% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 6% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,793
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$85,139

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Alta Vista
Very Low
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#102 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0038, -82.4440 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alta Vista scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,495 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Alta Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alta Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0017004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 348Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.3%Peak (2002)
  • 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057001700
Filings climbed 67% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 103Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alta Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista

Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 348 filings here across 11 tracked years.

At $1,495 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Tampa commands. The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.3% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057001700?

Census tract 12057001700 in the Alta Vista neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057001700?

Median gross rent is $1,495/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057001700?

21.7% of residents in tract 12057001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,061.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 68th, minority 74th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 12057001700 considered part of Alta Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057001700 fall within Alta Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057001700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.99% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057001700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057001700 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057001700 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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