Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Heights of North Tampa Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057002200 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,598 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12057002200 in the Seminole Heights of North Tampa area of Tampa ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,598 residents. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,281 a month against an average household income of $86,066 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units811
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$86,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9888, -82.4553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Heights of North Tampa scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Seminole Heights of North Tampa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 18%Grade A
- 60%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 203Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.5%Peak (2000)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 49Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Heights of North Tampa
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.60x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057002200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057002200?
Census tract 12057002200 in the Seminole Heights of North Tampa neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057002200?
Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057002200?
10.6% of residents in tract 12057002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,598.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057002200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 21th, minority 60th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12057002200 considered part of Seminole Heights of North Tampa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057002200 fall within Seminole Heights of North Tampa (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057002200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.08% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057002200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057002200 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057002200 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057002200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Vedado
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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