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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Seminole Heights of North Tampa Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12057002200 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,598 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 12057002200 in the Seminole Heights of North Tampa area of Tampa, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 20% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units811
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$86,066

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Seminole Heights of North Tampa
Moderate
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#204 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9888, -82.4553 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seminole Heights of North Tampa scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Seminole Heights of North Tampa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seminole Heights of North Tampa risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0022004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 203Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2000)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057002200
Filings dropped 63% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 49Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seminole Heights of North Tampa

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. At $1,281 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Tampa commands.

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 203 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 13.5% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $86,066, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057002200?

Census tract 12057002200 in the Seminole Heights of North Tampa neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057002200?

Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057002200?

10.6% of residents in tract 12057002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,598.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 21th, minority 60th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 12057002200 considered part of Seminole Heights of North Tampa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057002200 fall within Seminole Heights of North Tampa (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057002200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.08% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057002200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057002200 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057002200 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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