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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

El Valle de Tampa Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12057003800 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,040 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12057003800 in the El Valle de Tampa area of Tampa, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,040. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 21% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units467
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$59,792

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In El Valle de Tampa
Moderate
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9604, -82.4248 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Valle de Tampa scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How El Valle de Tampa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
El Valle de Tampa risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0038004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 284Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.8%Peak (2000)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057003800
Filings dropped 38% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 167Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.36×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Valle de Tampa

Set annual rent against average income of $59,792 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 284 evictions over 11 years of observation.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. The worst year on record was 2000, when 13.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tampa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057003800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003800?

Census tract 12057003800 in the El Valle de Tampa neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057003800?

Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003800?

24.8% of residents in tract 12057003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,040.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 40th, minority 80th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 12057003800 considered part of El Valle de Tampa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003800 fall within El Valle de Tampa (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.26% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057003800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057003800 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057003800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057003800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 93% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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