Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
El Valle de Tampa Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12057003800 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,040 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The El Valle de Tampa neighborhood of Tampa is where census tract 12057003800 sits, home to 1,040 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,662 a month while the average household earns $59,792 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units467
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$59,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9604, -82.4248 · click any tract to drill in
Why El Valle de Tampa scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How El Valle de Tampa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 93%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 284Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.8%Peak (2000)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in El Valle de Tampa
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 93% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057003800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003800?
Census tract 12057003800 in the El Valle de Tampa neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057003800?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003800?
24.8% of residents in tract 12057003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,040.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 40th, minority 80th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 12057003800 considered part of El Valle de Tampa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003800 fall within El Valle de Tampa (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.26% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057003800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057003800 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057003800 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057003800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 93% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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