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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Oakridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057004100 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,768 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Oakridge area of Tampa centers on tract 12057004100, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,768 residents. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 78% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $928 monthly, set against $24,596 in average yearly household income, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 90% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 70% Stable renters 20% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units833
Renter share89.6%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate46.8%
Median income$24,596

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oakridge
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#175 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9625, -82.4566 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakridge scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
46.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$928 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Oakridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 004100Tampa: 2.72.7Tampaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 320Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2002)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570041002000: 20 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2001: 36 filings (8.59/100 renter HHs)2002: 49 filings (11.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 37 filings (8.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 32 filings (7.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 46 filings (8.08/100 renter HHs)2009: 28 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 147Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (9.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-09-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakridge

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 320 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 6.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.7% of renter households in 2002.

Part of this tract, about 16% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057004100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004100?

Census tract 12057004100 in the Oakridge neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057004100?

Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004100?

46.8% of residents in tract 12057004100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,768.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 100th, minority 87th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 12057004100 considered part of Oakridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004100 fall within Oakridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057004100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 320 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057004100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.99% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057004100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057004100 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057004100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057004100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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