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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Michigan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057004400 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,113 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 12057004400 covers Michigan Park in Tampa, home to 2,113 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,108 a month while the average household earns $41,111 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units864
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate33.3%
Median income$41,111

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Michigan Park
Moderate
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 104 tracts In Tampa
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#279 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9615, -82.4808 · click any tract to drill in

Why Michigan Park scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Michigan Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Michigan Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 004400Tampa: 2.72.7Tampaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 334Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak (2016)
  • 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570044002000: 37 filings (11.21/100 renter HHs)2001: 21 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2004: 26 filings (7.88/100 renter HHs)2005: 30 filings (8.70/100 renter HHs)2009: 21 filings (6.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (9.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (9.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 42 filings (10.80/100 renter HHs)2016: 46 filings (10.09/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 135Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Michigan Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 334 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057004400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004400?

Census tract 12057004400 in the Michigan Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057004400?

Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004400?

33.3% of residents in tract 12057004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,113.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 72th, minority 89th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 12057004400 considered part of Michigan Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004400 fall within Michigan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057004400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 334 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.44% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057004400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057004400 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057004400 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057004400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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