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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Amelia Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa

Tract 12057004902 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,042 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 12057004902 covers part of the Amelia area of Tampa, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,042 residents. Average gross rent is $2,501, 47% above the Tampa average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 29% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,830
Renter share57.1%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$126,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Amelia
Moderate
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#315 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9415, -82.4800 · click any tract to drill in

Why Amelia scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$2,501 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Amelia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Amelia risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0049024.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 69Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Amelia

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 26.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.6/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $126,667.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057004902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004902?

Census tract 12057004902 in the Amelia neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057004902?

Median gross rent is $2,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004902?

11.6% of residents in tract 12057004902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,042.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 1th, minority 37th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 12057004902 considered part of Amelia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004902 fall within Amelia (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057004902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057004902 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057004902 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12057004902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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