Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Palma Ceia Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa
Tract 12057006103 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,777 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 12057006103 belongs to Palma Ceia in Tampa, Florida. It is home to 3,777 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,816 a month while the average household earns $117,950 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,222
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$117,950
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9147, -82.4924 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palma Ceia scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,816 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Palma Ceia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 9%Grade A
- 39%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 139Total filings over 11 yrs
- 1.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2001)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 39Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palma Ceia
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 139 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.4% of renter households in 2001.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057006103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057006103?
Census tract 12057006103 in the Palma Ceia neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057006103?
Median gross rent is $1,816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057006103?
6.2% of residents in tract 12057006103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,777.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057006103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 47th, minority 40th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 12057006103 considered part of Palma Ceia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057006103 fall within Palma Ceia (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057006103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 139 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057006103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.53% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057006103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057006103 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057006103 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057006103 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Vedado
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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