Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Ceia Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa

Tract 12057006103 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,777 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

12057006103 is a census tract in the Palma Ceia area of Tampa, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,777 residents. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 25% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units2,222

Renter share45.2%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$117,950

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9147, -82.4924 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Ceia scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tampa

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,816 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tampa

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tampa

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tampa

3.5

How Palma Ceia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

9%Grade A
39%Grade B
23%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

139Total filings over 11 yrs
1.53%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak (2001)
8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2000 to 2016

Filings dropped 56% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

39Total filings 2020-21
0.5Avg monthly (observed)
0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Ceia

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Cost burden runs 44% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 139 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 2.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tampa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057006103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057006103?

Census tract 12057006103 in the Palma Ceia neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12057006103?

Median gross rent is $1,816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057006103?

6.2% of residents in tract 12057006103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,777.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057006103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 47th, minority 40th, housing 72th.

Is tract 12057006103 considered part of Palma Ceia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057006103 fall within Palma Ceia (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057006103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 139 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057006103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.53% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 12057006103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.

How does tract 12057006103 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057006103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 12057006103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org