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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Arlene Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa

Tract 12057007103 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,067 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 12057007103 covers the Arlene Manor neighborhood of Tampa in Florida. Home to 4,067 residents, it scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.

About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,864 monthly, set against $103,650 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 26% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,567
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$103,650

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arlene Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#81 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#209 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#2,890 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.8828, -82.5206 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlene Manor scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,864 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Arlene Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlene Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 007103Tampa: 2.72.7Tampaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 215Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2000)
  • 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570071032000: 28 filings (2.26/100 renter HHs)2001: 18 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 11 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2003: 21 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (1.77/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2011: 22 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (4.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 19 filings (3.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 101Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlene Manor

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 215 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.3% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057007103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057007103?

Census tract 12057007103 in the Arlene Manor neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057007103?

Median gross rent is $1,864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057007103?

9.3% of residents in tract 12057007103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,067.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057007103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 44th, minority 50th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 12057007103 considered part of Arlene Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057007103 fall within Arlene Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057007103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057007103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.29% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057007103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057007103 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057007103 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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