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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Vieux Carre Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057011018 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,286 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

12057011018 is a census tract in the Vieux Carre area of Tampa, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,286 residents. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 31% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,772
Renter share81.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$52,860

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Vieux Carre
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#63 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0861, -82.4012 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vieux Carre scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,475 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Vieux Carre compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vieux Carre risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0110184.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 838Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vieux Carre. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vieux Carre

This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $52,860 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,475, 13% below the Tampa average.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011018

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011018?

Census tract 12057011018 in the Vieux Carre neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011018?

Median gross rent is $1,475/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011018?

26.6% of residents in tract 12057011018 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,286.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011018?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 3th, minority 66th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011018 considered part of Vieux Carre?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011018 fall within Vieux Carre (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011018 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057011018 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057011018 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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