Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Abray Eviction Risk: Lower , Keystone
Tract 12057011504 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,000 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 12057011504 sits in the Lake Abray area of Keystone, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #56,606 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,579 a month against an average household income of $112,031 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,147
Renter share21.9%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$112,031
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Keystone and the region
Centroid at 28.1512, -82.6047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Abray scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Keystone
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,579 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keystone
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keystone
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keystone
4.7
How Lake Abray compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 36Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2002)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 5Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Abray
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Keystone, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.42x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011504?
Census tract 12057011504 in the Lake Abray neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011504?
Median gross rent is $1,579/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011504?
4.2% of residents in tract 12057011504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,000.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 30th, minority 37th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011504 considered part of Lake Abray?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011504 fall within Lake Abray (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 36 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057011504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.86% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011504 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011504 compare to Keystone overall?
Tract 12057011504 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Keystone at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keystone; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Keystone
Top eight tracts in Keystone ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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