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Neighborhood · Keystone, FL

Lake Abray Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,000 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.7–1.7

Lake Abray is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Keystone with 1 census tract and a population of 3,000 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,579/month sits 29% lower than the Keystone citywide average ($2,238).

Risk score
1.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lake Abray vs Keystone How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.0% +91%
Keystone: 29.8%
Average gross rent
$1,579 -29%
Keystone: $2,238
Average HH income
$112,031 -28%
Keystone: $155,365
Poverty rate
4.2% +0%
Keystone: 4.2%
Renter share
21.9% +178%
Keystone: 7.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Abray and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.7–1.7

Why Lake Abray scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
4.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Lake Abray vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lake Abray score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lake Abray: 1.71.7Lake AbrayNeighborhoodParent city: 2.12.1Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lake Abray

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057011504 1.7 3,000 57% $1,579
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 20

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lake Abray

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 36Total filings (sum)
  • 4.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak year (2002)
  • 1.69%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 5Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly observed
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.42×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Lake Abray

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Abray?

Lake Abray scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lake Abray compare to Keystone overall?

Lake Abray scores 0.4 points lower than Keystone overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,579 vs $2,238.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lake Abray?

Average gross rent in Lake Abray is $1,579/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lake Abray residents are renters?

22% of Lake Abray households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Keystone). The neighborhood has 3,000 residents.
Q5

Is Lake Abray a high social-vulnerability area?

Lake Abray sits in the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lake Abray for landlords?

Lake Abray carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Keystone as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Abray?

Lake Abray has 3,163 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71.6%), Hispanic / Latino (16.2%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lake Abray

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Keystone

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lake Abray.

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