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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Nine Eagles Eviction Risk: Lower , Keystone

Tract 12057011527 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,905 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up the Nine Eagles area of Keystone, census tract 12057011527 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It lands near the 26th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,012 monthly, set against $170,972 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 4% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,383
Renter share6.5%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$170,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Nine Eagles
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Keystone
Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#323 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#4,996 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keystone and the region

Centroid at 28.1138, -82.6433 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nine Eagles scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keystone
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,012 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keystone
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keystone
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keystone
4.7

How Nine Eagles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nine Eagles risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 011527Keystone: 2.12.1Keystoneparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 10Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nine Eagles

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Keystone, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.48x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011527

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011527?

Census tract 12057011527 in the Nine Eagles neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011527?

Median gross rent is $3,012/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011527?

4.0% of residents in tract 12057011527 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,905.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011527?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 67th, minority 37th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011527 considered part of Nine Eagles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011527 fall within Nine Eagles (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011527 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057011527 compare to Keystone overall?

Tract 12057011527 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Keystone at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keystone; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keystone

Top eight tracts in Keystone ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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