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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Morey Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057014200 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,856 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 12057014200 sits in the Morey Heights area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,856. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 31% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,855
Renter share84.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$34,479

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Morey Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 104 tracts In Tampa
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#56 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9599, -82.4453 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morey Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,121 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Morey Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Morey Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0142004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 225Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morey Heights

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10. This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $34,479, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,121, 34% below the Tampa average.

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tampa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057014200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057014200?

Census tract 12057014200 in the Morey Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057014200?

Median gross rent is $1,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057014200?

35.9% of residents in tract 12057014200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,856.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057014200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 92th, minority 80th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 12057014200 considered part of Morey Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057014200 fall within Morey Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057014200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057014200 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057014200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12057014200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 85% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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