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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Suncoast Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12071020302 · Lee, FL · pop 2,106

Tract 12071020302 sits in Suncoast Estates, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,106. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 17% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$48,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Suncoast Estates
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 222 tracts In Lee
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Suncoast Estates and the region

Centroid at 26.7184, -81.8716 · click any tract to drill in

Why Suncoast Estates scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Suncoast Estates
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,061 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suncoast Estates
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suncoast Estates
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suncoast Estates
8.8

How Suncoast Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Suncoast Estates risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 020302Suncoast Estates: 4.04.0Suncoast Estatesparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Suncoast Estates

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Lee County average of 52.2%. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10.

It sits 1.7 points above the Lee County average of 3.7. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 43.7% against 31.5% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 23.0% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,061, 17% below the Suncoast Estates average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $48,607.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071020302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071020302?

Census tract 12071020302 in Suncoast Estates scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071020302?

Median gross rent is $1,061/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071020302?

24.7% of residents in tract 12071020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,106.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071020302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 36th, minority 34th, housing 82th.
Q5

How does tract 12071020302 compare to Suncoast Estates overall?

Tract 12071020302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Suncoast Estates at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suncoast Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Suncoast Estates

Top eight tracts in Suncoast Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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