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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Tidewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Florida Gulf Coast University

Tract 12071040139 · Lee, FL · pop 3,793 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 12071040139 sits in the Tidewater area of Florida eviction laws Gulf Coast University, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 3,793. Severe burden reaches 55%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68% Stable renters 32% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units78
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate79.8%
Median income$25,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Tidewater
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Florida Gulf Coast University
Moderate
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#20 of 222 tracts In Lee
Very High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Florida Gulf Coast University and the region

Centroid at 26.4634, -81.7730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tidewater scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Florida Gulf Coast University
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
79.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Florida Gulf Coast University
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Florida Gulf Coast University
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Florida Gulf Coast University
9.7

How Tidewater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tidewater risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 040139Florida Gulf Coast: 3.53.5Florida Gulf Coastparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tidewater

Annualized rent equals 64% of average household income of $25,395, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 80%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs 68% here against 52.2% across Lee County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.9/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.7/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.8% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071040139

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071040139?

Census tract 12071040139 in the Tidewater neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071040139?

Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071040139?

79.8% of residents in tract 12071040139 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,793.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071040139?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 4th, minority 49th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 12071040139 considered part of Tidewater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071040139 fall within Tidewater (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071040139 compare to Florida Gulf Coast University overall?

Tract 12071040139 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Florida Gulf Coast University at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Florida eviction laws Gulf Coast University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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