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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Matoaka Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12081000809 · Manatee, FL · pop 4,880 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 12081000809 in the Matoaka Heights area of Manatee County, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 15% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,100
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$79,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Matoaka Heights
Moderate
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manatee and the region

Centroid at 27.3967, -82.5000 · click any tract to drill in

Why Matoaka Heights scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,120 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Matoaka Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Matoaka Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0008094.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 46Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2015)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12081000809
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Matoaka Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Matoaka Heights

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Manatee County average of 53.5%. Court records carry 46 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Manatee County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent runs $2,120 a month.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $79,676.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000809

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000809?

Census tract 12081000809 in the Matoaka Heights neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081000809?

Median gross rent is $2,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000809?

9.4% of residents in tract 12081000809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,880.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000809?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 26th, minority 27th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 12081000809 considered part of Matoaka Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000809 fall within Matoaka Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000809?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 46 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081000809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.95% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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