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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Lockhart Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095015106 · Orange, FL · pop 7,980 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Lockhart

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 12095015106 in Lockhart, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,980 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 12% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,340
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$50,909

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lockhart
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#78 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#879 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lockhart and the region

Centroid at 28.6186, -81.4590 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lockhart scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lockhart
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,359 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lockhart
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lockhart
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lockhart
7.9

How Lockhart compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lockhart risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0151064.1Lockhartparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 428Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 9.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2007)
  • 78Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095015106
Filings climbed 359% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lockhart

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $50,909 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

At $1,359 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Lockhart commands. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. The filing record is not thin: 428 evictions over 9 years of observation.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.7% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 25.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095015106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095015106?

Census tract 12095015106 in Lockhart scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095015106?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095015106?

15.4% of residents in tract 12095015106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,980.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095015106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 73th, minority 89th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095015106?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095015106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.95% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12095015106 compare to Lockhart overall?

Tract 12095015106 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lockhart at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lockhart; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lockhart

Top eight tracts in Lockhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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