Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lantower Grande Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12095017022 ·
Orange, FL · pop 8,166 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12095017022 in the Lantower Grande Pines area of Orange County, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,166. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Orange County average of 51.4%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 69%Stable renters 20%Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units3,646
Renter share89.4%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$55,627
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lantower Grande Pines
Moderate
Within county
62th percentile
#103 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
70th percentile
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53th percentile
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orange and the region
Centroid at 28.3909, -81.4745 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lantower Grande Pines scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Lantower Grande Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
64%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lantower Grande Pines
89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $55,627, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Orange County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent runs $1,825 a month.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017022
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017022?
Census tract 12095017022 in the Lantower Grande Pines neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017022?
Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017022?
12.5% of residents in tract 12095017022 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,166.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017022?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 30th, minority 81th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12095017022 considered part of Lantower Grande Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017022 fall within Lantower Grande Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).