Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,085 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Groves Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025106 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,537 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 12103025106 covers the Seminole Groves area of Seminole in Florida. Home to 2,537 residents, it scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 14th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,998 a month against an average household income of $75,721 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,388
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$75,721
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8104, -82.7784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Groves scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,998 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
4.9
How Seminole Groves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 267Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.7%Peak (2006)
- 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Groves
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 267 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.7% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025106?
Census tract 12103025106 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025106?
Median gross rent is $1,998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025106?
11.4% of residents in tract 12103025106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,537.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 44th, minority 17th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025106 considered part of Seminole Groves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025106 fall within Seminole Groves (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025106?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 267 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.92% of renter households, peaking at 36.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025106 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025106 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025106 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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