Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Groves Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025106 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,537 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 12103025106 covers part of the Seminole Groves area of Bay Pines, FL, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,537 residents. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,388
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$75,721
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8104, -82.7784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Groves scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,998 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
4.9
How Seminole Groves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 267Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.7%Peak (2006)
- 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Groves
At $1,998 a month, rents run 69% over what the rest of Bay Pines commands. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 267 evictions over 18 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 36.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025106?
Census tract 12103025106 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025106?
Median gross rent is $1,998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025106?
11.4% of residents in tract 12103025106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,537.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 44th, minority 17th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025106 considered part of Seminole Groves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025106 fall within Seminole Groves (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025106?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 267 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.92% of renter households, peaking at 36.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025106 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025106 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025106 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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