Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Groves Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025107 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,050 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12103025107 is a census tract in the Seminole Groves area of Seminole, FL. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,050. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$89,479
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8280, -82.7772 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Groves scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,829 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3
How Seminole Groves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 126Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2010)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 49Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Groves
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
Court records carry 126 eviction filings across 18 observed years. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025107?
Census tract 12103025107 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025107?
Median gross rent is $1,829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025107?
9.0% of residents in tract 12103025107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,050.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 63th, minority 40th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025107 considered part of Seminole Groves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025107 fall within Seminole Groves (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.71% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025107 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025107 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025107 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025116
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103025114
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Related