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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,144 of 84,120 nationally

Seminole Groves Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12103025107 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,050 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

In Seminole Groves in Seminole, census tract 12103025107 scores 4.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #66,463 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,829 monthly, set against $89,479 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$89,479

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Seminole Groves
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Seminole
Moderate
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#212 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,389 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminole and the region

Centroid at 27.8280, -82.7772 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seminole Groves scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,829 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3

How Seminole Groves compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seminole Groves risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 025107Seminole: 2.22.2Seminoleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 126Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 2.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2010)
  • 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030251072000: 8 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2001: 4 filings (2.01/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (2.01/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (1.58/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2014: 7 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (1.58/100 renter HHs)2017: 8 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 49Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seminole Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seminole Groves

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 126 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2010.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.88x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025107

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025107?

Census tract 12103025107 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025107?

Median gross rent is $1,829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025107?

9.0% of residents in tract 12103025107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,050.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025107?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 63th, minority 40th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025107 considered part of Seminole Groves?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025107 fall within Seminole Groves (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025107?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.71% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025107 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025107 compare to Seminole overall?

Tract 12103025107 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seminole

Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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