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Census Tract · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Medulla Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105011909 · Polk, FL · pop 4,205 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Medulla

Eviction risk in Medulla centers on tract 12105011909, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,205 residents. That is riskier than roughly 62% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,567 a month while the average household earns $109,107 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 6% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,412
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$109,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Medulla
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#172 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#4,735 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#77,226 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medulla and the region

Centroid at 27.9619, -82.0005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medulla scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medulla
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,567 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medulla
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medulla
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medulla
6.2

How Medulla compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medulla risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 011909Medulla: 2.12.1Medullaparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 39Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2017)
  • 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050119092000: 3 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2001: 3 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (0.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (0.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)2008: 1 filings (0.29/100 renter HHs)2009: 4 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (1.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (1.68/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (0.67/100 renter HHs)2017: 6 filings (4.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medulla

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medulla, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 39 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 1.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2017.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011909

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011909?

Census tract 12105011909 in Medulla scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011909?

Median gross rent is $2,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011909?

1.4% of residents in tract 12105011909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,205.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 34th, minority 56th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011909?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105011909 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011909 compare to Medulla overall?

Tract 12105011909 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Medulla at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medulla; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medulla

Top eight tracts in Medulla ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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