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Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Medulla Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105011913 · Polk, FL · pop 2,186

For landlords sizing up Medulla, census tract 12105011913 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 54% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,256 a month while the average household earns $63,669 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 20% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$63,669

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Medulla
Very High
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#134 of 174 tracts In Polk
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#2,890 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#56,660 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medulla and the region

Centroid at 27.9636, -81.9807 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medulla scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medulla
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,256 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medulla
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medulla
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medulla
6.2

How Medulla compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medulla risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 011913Medulla: 2.12.1Medullaparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 372Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.0%Peak (2000)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050119132000: 38 filings (12.95/100 renter HHs)2001: 20 filings (6.82/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (7.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 21 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (7.50/100 renter HHs)2005: 36 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (5.55/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (6.87/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (2.91/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2012: 18 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 20 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (8.36/100 renter HHs)2017: 25 filings (8.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medulla

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medulla, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 372 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 6.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.0% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011913

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011913?

Census tract 12105011913 in Medulla scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011913?

Median gross rent is $1,256/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011913?

10.0% of residents in tract 12105011913 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,186.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011913?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 66th, minority 64th, housing 32th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011913?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 372 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011913 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.62% of renter households, peaking at 13.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011913 compare to Medulla overall?

Tract 12105011913 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Medulla at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medulla; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medulla

Top eight tracts in Medulla ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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