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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12105012203 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012203 · Polk, FL · pop 3,389

Census tract 12105012203 belongs to Polk in Polk County, Florida. It is home to 3,389 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #50,901 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,117 a month while the average household earns $68,594 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 12% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,122
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$68,594

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,422 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Polk and the region

Centroid at 28.1433, -81.9648 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12105012203 scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12105012203 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12105012203 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 012203County: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 349Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 18.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.2%Peak (2007)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050122032000: 13 filings (19.17/100 renter HHs)2001: 12 filings (17.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 21 filings (30.97/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (32.44/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (22.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)2007: 34 filings (43.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 24 filings (30.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 27 filings (34.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 20 filings (8.10/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (9.33/100 renter HHs)2013: 27 filings (12.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 23 filings (10.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 15 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (3.88/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12105012203

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 349 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 18.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 43.2% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012203?

Census tract 12105012203 in Polk scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012203?

Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012203?

21.6% of residents in tract 12105012203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 91th, minority 60th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 349 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.68% of renter households, peaking at 43.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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