Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Bermuda Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Augustine Beach
Tract 12109021410 · St. Johns, FL · pop 2,455 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
12109021410 is a census tract in the Bermuda Run area of St. Augustine Beach, FL. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,455 residents. Cost burden runs 26% here against 53.0% across St. Johns County.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,259
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$69,981
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Augustine Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.8310, -81.2666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bermuda Run scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,719 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
1.7
How Bermuda Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bermuda Run
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. It tracks the St. Johns County average of 3.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,719, close to the St. Augustine Beach average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $69,981.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021410?
Census tract 12109021410 in the Bermuda Run neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021410?
Median gross rent is $1,719/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021410?
9.0% of residents in tract 12109021410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,455.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 35th, minority 4th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12109021410 considered part of Bermuda Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109021410 fall within Bermuda Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12109021410 compare to St. Augustine Beach overall?
Tract 12109021410 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Augustine Beach at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Augustine Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Augustine Beach
Top eight tracts in St. Augustine Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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