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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Desoto Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115001206 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,132 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Desoto Lakes

Tract 12115001206, home to 3,132 residents in Desoto Lakes, scores 4.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,241 a month against an average household income of $86,154 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 17% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,380
Renter share25.7%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$86,154

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Desoto Lakes
Moderate
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,095 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Desoto Lakes and the region

Centroid at 27.3715, -82.5007 · click any tract to drill in

Why Desoto Lakes scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Desoto Lakes
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$2,241 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Desoto Lakes
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Desoto Lakes
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Desoto Lakes
7.3

How Desoto Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Desoto Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 001206Desoto Lakes: 2.42.4Desoto Lakesparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Desoto Lakes

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Desoto Lakes, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001206?

Census tract 12115001206 in Desoto Lakes scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001206?

Median gross rent is $2,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001206?

26.6% of residents in tract 12115001206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,132.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 50th, minority 35th, housing 16th.
Q5

How does tract 12115001206 compare to Desoto Lakes overall?

Tract 12115001206 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Desoto Lakes at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Desoto Lakes; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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