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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sarasota

Tract 12115000502 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,342 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 12115000502 sits in the Avondale neighborhood of Sarasota, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #47,924 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,566 monthly, set against $61,583 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 18% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,418
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$61,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Avondale
Moderate
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,422 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3225, -82.5209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 000502Sarasota: 2.32.3Sarasotaparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 154Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2018)
  • 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150005022002: 37 filings (7.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 35 filings (6.92/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 23 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2018: 38 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sarasota, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2018.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000502?

Census tract 12115000502 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000502?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000502?

14.7% of residents in tract 12115000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,342.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 47th, minority 39th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 12115000502 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000502 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115000502 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000502 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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