Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Palmer Glen Eviction Risk: Lower , Fruitville
Tract 12115001405 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,273 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 12115001405 covers part of the Palmer Glen area of Sarasota County, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,273 residents. 5% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$130,055
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fruitville and the region
Centroid at 27.3123, -82.4089 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Glen scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fruitville
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,014 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruitville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruitville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruitville
5.0
How Palmer Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palmer Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Glen
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
It sits 0.8 points below the Sarasota County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,014 a month.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001405?
Census tract 12115001405 in the Palmer Glen neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001405?
Median gross rent is $2,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001405?
1.3% of residents in tract 12115001405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,273.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 9th, minority 26th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 12115001405 considered part of Palmer Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115001405 fall within Palmer Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12115001405 compare to Fruitville overall?
Tract 12115001405 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fruitville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruitville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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