Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Granada Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Sarasota
Tract 12115001804 ·
Sarasota, FL · pop 2,556 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 12115001804 covers part of the Granada area of South Sarasota, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,556. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%Stable renters 22%Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,152
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$66,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Granada
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In South Sarasota
Very High
Within county
91th percentile
#12 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
76th percentile
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.2873, -82.5255 · click any tract to drill in
Why Granada scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,737 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Sarasota
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Sarasota
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Sarasota
6.8
How Granada compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
78%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
100Total filings over 5 yrs
4.81%Avg annual filing rate
8.5%Peak (2003)
10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2018
Filings dropped 63% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Granada
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 100 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 8.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,737, close to the South Sarasota average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001804?
Census tract 12115001804 in the Granada neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001804?
Median gross rent is $1,737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001804?
12.3% of residents in tract 12115001804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,556.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 90th, minority 51th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 12115001804 considered part of Granada?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115001804 fall within Granada (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 100 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.81% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115001804 compare to South Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115001804 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of South Sarasota at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Sarasota
Top eight tracts in South Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.