Eviction Risk in Arlington Park , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021012500 · Bibb County, GA · pop 2,930 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 13021012500 sits in the Arlington Park neighborhood of Macon-Bibb County, Georgia. It has a population of 2,930 and an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). 77% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 53% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $760/month against a median household income of $22,034 — roughly 41% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,410 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 0.1%
- White (non-Hispanic) 4.2%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 88.8%
- Other / Multiracial 6.8%
How the 7.3/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.6 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.0 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 6.2 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 6.6 | Macon-Bibb County (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 8.2 | Macon-Bibb County (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 1.7 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.0 | Macon-Bibb County (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 8.4 | Macon-Bibb County (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 10.0 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.1 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,196Total filings over 8 yrs
- 16.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.8%Peak (2005)
- 111Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.2%Housing insecurity
- 32.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.4%Food insecurity
- 60.2%SNAP enrollment
- 28.5%Transit barriers
- 23.4%No health insurance
- 24.1%Frequent mental distress
- 52.8%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 1% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Macon. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 0.7%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 13021012500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021012500?
Census tract 13021012500 in the Arlington Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 13021012500?
Median gross rent is $760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021012500?
48.7% of residents in tract 13021012500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,930.
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021012500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 53th.
Is tract 13021012500 considered part of Arlington Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021012500 fall within Arlington Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021012500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,196 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021012500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.57% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 13021012500 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 13021012500 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 1% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Macon. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.