Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Castlegate Eviction Risk: Lower , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021013412 · Bibb County, GA · pop 3,946 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
13021013412 is a census tract in the Castlegate area of Macon-Bibb County, GA. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,946 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,535
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$105,528
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region
Centroid at 32.8711, -83.7363 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castlegate scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,517 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4
How Castlegate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castlegate
Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 51.4% across Bibb County. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
At $2,517 a month, rents run 136% over what the rest of Macon-Bibb County commands. The voucher gap is 101.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Bibb County average of 4.9.
SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13021013412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021013412?
Census tract 13021013412 in the Castlegate neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13021013412?
Median gross rent is $2,517/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021013412?
13.5% of residents in tract 13021013412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,946.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021013412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 53th, minority 48th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 13021013412 considered part of Castlegate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021013412 fall within Castlegate (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13021013412 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13021013412 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?
Tract 13021013412 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County
Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Anthony Terrace
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Meadowbrook
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Highland Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Christian Rest
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Renaissance on the River
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13021013900
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Hillcrest Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Riverside Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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