Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Castlegate Eviction Risk: Lower , Macon-Bibb County

Tract 13021013412 · Bibb County, GA · pop 3,946 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

In the Castlegate neighborhood of Macon-Bibb County, census tract 13021013412 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,517 a month against an average household income of $105,528 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 9% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units1,535

Renter share28.9%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$105,528

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region

Centroid at 32.8711, -83.7363 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castlegate scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$2,517 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

8.4

How Castlegate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.6%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
29.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castlegate

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bibb County average of 6.8 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13021013412

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021013412?

Census tract 13021013412 in the Castlegate neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13021013412?

Median gross rent is $2,517/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13021013412?

13.5% of residents in tract 13021013412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,946.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13021013412?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 53th, minority 48th, housing 74th.

Is tract 13021013412 considered part of Castlegate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021013412 fall within Castlegate (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13021013412 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13021013412 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?

Tract 13021013412 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County

Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.