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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Hillcrest Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Macon-Bibb County

Tract 13021014000 · Bibb County, GA · pop 3,664 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Hillcrest Heights in Macon-Bibb County anchors census tract 13021014000, which lands at 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $788 a month against an average household income of $22,070 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 23% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$22,070

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hillcrest Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 48 tracts In Macon-Bibb County
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 48 tracts In Bibb County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region

Centroid at 32.8401, -83.6691 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hillcrest Heights scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$788 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4

How Hillcrest Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hillcrest Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 014000Macon-Bibb County: 2.82.8Macon-Bibb Countyparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest Heights

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bibb County average of 6.8 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 24% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13021014000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021014000?

Census tract 13021014000 in the Hillcrest Heights neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13021014000?

Median gross rent is $788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13021014000?

52.6% of residents in tract 13021014000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13021014000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 69th, minority 90th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 13021014000 considered part of Hillcrest Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021014000 fall within Hillcrest Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13021014000 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13021014000 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?

Tract 13021014000 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 13021014000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County

Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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