Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Grove Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Statesboro

Tract 13031110603 · Bulloch County, GA · pop 4,186 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 13031110603 in the Grove Lakes area of Statesboro, GA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,186 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,801

Renter share47.1%

SVI overall0.18

Poverty rate14.1%

Median income$72,198

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Statesboro and the region

Centroid at 32.4277, -81.7343 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grove Lakes scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Statesboro

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

14.1% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,320 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Statesboro

6.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Statesboro

9.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Statesboro

8.1

How Grove Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.5%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
27.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grove Lakes

Average gross rent is $1,320, 40% above the Statesboro average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. The voucher gap is 16.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 36.0% across Bulloch County. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Bulloch County average of 5.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $72,198. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13031110603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13031110603?

Census tract 13031110603 in the Grove Lakes neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13031110603?

Median gross rent is $1,320/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13031110603?

14.1% of residents in tract 13031110603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,186.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13031110603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 40th, minority 38th, housing 7th.

Is tract 13031110603 considered part of Grove Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13031110603 fall within Grove Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13031110603 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13031110603 compare to Statesboro overall?

Tract 13031110603 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Statesboro at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Statesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Statesboro

Top eight tracts in Statesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.